Research: Hydrologic Modeling/Monitoring

My doctoral research focused on developing a real-time Agricultural Drought Monitoring System for the State of Delaware that  provides agricultural producers with detailed soil moisture information at a relatively high spatial resolution.  The issue of spatial resolution is extremely important since convective precipitation (which provides much of the moisture for crops) and soil characteristics (which have a major impact on soil moisture storage) are spatially heterogeneous.  Most of the drought monitoring products that are routinely provided by organizations like the National Drought Mitigation Center are national products that are too coarse to provide the detailed information required for making operational decisions.  The drought monitoring system that I am developed provides daily soil moisture and crop yield estimates at a resolution of 4 km.  This information can be used by agricultural producers to make management decisions and by state and federal agencies to forecast yields and to identify areas that require drought assistance. 

I plan to pursue extramural funding to implement the drought monitoring system in other regions of the United States and Canada.  Opportunities exist to collaborate with both provincial and federal partners to enhance their respective drought monitoring programs.  I am also interested in developing systems for other applications such as monitoring forest fire hazard and flash flooding risk. 

The following links provide more information on this research:

In addition to developing the agricultural drought monitoring system, I have also been involved in other drought monitoring research.  I evaluated four commonly used measures of agricultural drought to determine which is the most suitable for quantifying and monitoring agricultural drought on the Canadian prairies (Quiring and Papakyriakou, 2003).  This study demonstrated the importance of evaluating the performance of a number of drought indices prior to selecting the one that is most appropriate for a particular application.  Future work will involve examining the utility of existing indices for other applications (e.g., forestry, water supply) and developing improved moisture indices.

The following links provide more information on this research: